We talk about the Great Home Run Surge of 2019, the Rabbit Ball, Slippier in the Air Ball, the call up of Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Alex Rodriguez on YouTube.
\n\nLinks:
\n\nWe talked with Jared Diamond about recent MLB rules changes. Specifically related to one of our favorite subjects, two-way players. We address how teams will have to designate players as, pitchers, hitters, or two-way and what effect those rules will have on the game. We also get a peak into Jared's upcoming book.
\n\nHarry and Kendall also dig into some of the upcoming changes that MLB will be testing out in the Atlantic League.
","summary":"We talked with Jared Diamond about recent MLB rules changes. Specifically related to one of our favorite subjects, two-way players. We address how teams will have to designate players as, pitchers, hitters, or two-way and what effect those rules will have on the game. We also get a peak into Jared's upcoming book. ","date_published":"2019-03-14T14:00:00.000-07:00","attachments":[{"url":"https://aphid.fireside.fm/d/1437767933/404b1f73-65b1-41c4-adb4-28c4fda60071/a24958f2-1eba-451f-8b16-3c3c3b9a50e7.mp3","mime_type":"audio/mp3","size_in_bytes":28880624,"duration_in_seconds":3610}]},{"id":"69035bf5-9079-4121-9f92-6fd468e1358b","title":"Episode 34: Projection Roundtable with the creators of ZiPS, Steamer, THE BAT and Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA","url":"https://stolen-signs.fireside.fm/34","content_text":"We chatted with the creators and maintainers of four major projection systems, ZiPS (Dan Szymborski), Steamer (Jared Cross), THE BAT (Derek Carty) and Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA (Harry Pavlidis) about how their systems are created, how the past is used to project future performance and how projecting young players without much track record can be tricky. \n\nMusic is \"Open Your Face\" by Parker Projection. ","content_html":"We chatted with the creators and maintainers of four major projection systems, ZiPS (Dan Szymborski), Steamer (Jared Cross), THE BAT (Derek Carty) and Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA (Harry Pavlidis) about how their systems are created, how the past is used to project future performance and how projecting young players without much track record can be tricky.
\n\nMusic is "Open Your Face" by Parker Projection.
","summary":"We chatted with the creators and maintainers of four major projection systems, ZiPS (Dan Szymborski), Steamer (Jared Cross), THE BAT (Derek Carty) and Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA (Harry Pavlidis) about how their systems are created, how the past is used to project future performance and how projecting young players without much track record can be tricky. \r\n\r\nMusic is \"Open Your Face\" by Parker Projection","date_published":"2019-02-21T00:15:00.000-08:00","attachments":[{"url":"https://aphid.fireside.fm/d/1437767933/404b1f73-65b1-41c4-adb4-28c4fda60071/69035bf5-9079-4121-9f92-6fd468e1358b.mp3","mime_type":"audio/mp3","size_in_bytes":24423184,"duration_in_seconds":3052}]},{"id":"7d9a424a-163f-47e8-b1e8-f2a63d7496e8","title":"Episode 33: PECOTA 2019 with Jonathan Judge and Rob McQuown","url":"https://stolen-signs.fireside.fm/33","content_text":"Deep dive into DRC+ and PECOTA with Jonathan Judge and Rob McQuown of Baseball Prospectus. \n\n\nStats Chat\nDRC Updates and Improvements\nDRC+ and Observables\nAll DRC+ coverage\nProjected Standings based on PECOTA\nHow to watch Serie del Caribe 2019\n","content_html":"Deep dive into DRC+ and PECOTA with Jonathan Judge and Rob McQuown of Baseball Prospectus.
\n\nShohei Ohtani revisited, baseball Hall of Fame bar lowering and how it affects who gets in, lining up optimal player development and what happens when you launch a new statistic.
\n\nAvailable at Baseball Prospectus
","summary":"Shohei Ohtani revisited, baseball Hall of Fame bar lowering and how it affects who gets in, lining up optimal player development and what happens when you launch a new statistic. ","date_published":"2018-12-15T00:15:00.000-08:00","attachments":[{"url":"https://aphid.fireside.fm/d/1437767933/404b1f73-65b1-41c4-adb4-28c4fda60071/6b1a4613-933c-4ef0-8040-2d0878700775.mp3","mime_type":"audio/mp3","size_in_bytes":25791174,"duration_in_seconds":3221}]},{"id":"772e1668-b0f3-420e-b2a4-ac06ccdb39dc","title":"Episode 31: Changing Pitchers, Changing Players, Changing Owners","url":"https://stolen-signs.fireside.fm/31","content_text":"Harry and Kendall talk about the quantifying The Opener phenomenon, Bill James' comments about replacing players, trying to figure out if regular baseball fans could visibly tell the difference between top MLB talent and replacement level talent. Then cap it off with a discussion about the changes at Baseball Prospectus.","content_html":"Harry and Kendall talk about the quantifying The Opener phenomenon, Bill James' comments about replacing players, trying to figure out if regular baseball fans could visibly tell the difference between top MLB talent and replacement level talent. Then cap it off with a discussion about the changes at Baseball Prospectus.
","summary":"Harry and Kendall talk about the quantifying The Opener phenomenon, Bill James' comments about replacing players, trying to figure out if regular baseball fans could visibly tell the difference between top MLB talent and replacement level talent. Then cap it off with a discussion about the changes at Baseball Prospectus.","date_published":"2018-11-15T00:15:00.000-08:00","attachments":[{"url":"https://aphid.fireside.fm/d/1437767933/404b1f73-65b1-41c4-adb4-28c4fda60071/772e1668-b0f3-420e-b2a4-ac06ccdb39dc.mp3","mime_type":"audio/mp3","size_in_bytes":26331121,"duration_in_seconds":3286}]},{"id":"23c048fd-bad1-4060-ada4-4de77de39c59","title":"Episode 30: In the playoffs (and always) pitching and catching are important","url":"https://stolen-signs.fireside.fm/30","content_text":"In the playoffs (and always) pitching and catching are important\n\n\nDonate to the Lupus Foundation\n\n\nRequired Reading\n\n\nThe unlucky legacy of the 2018 Houston Astros by Sam Miller \nJoel Sherman writes about the plight of catchers\n","content_html":"In the playoffs (and always) pitching and catching are important
\n\n\n\nWe talk about how you build a baseball team for the playoffs and the future. It’s good to talk about baseball. Enjoy the playoffs.
","summary":"We talk about how you build a baseball team for the playoffs and the future. It’s good to talk about baseball. Enjoy the playoffs. ","date_published":"2018-10-04T00:15:00.000-07:00","attachments":[{"url":"https://aphid.fireside.fm/d/1437767933/404b1f73-65b1-41c4-adb4-28c4fda60071/bd617a38-12e2-4ee3-aaad-fe6e5c09f8c6.mp3","mime_type":"audio/mp3","size_in_bytes":28835357,"duration_in_seconds":3522}]},{"id":"e7e7320a-f16a-47ab-8af0-dcc7ac501d5f","title":"Episode 28: Women's Baseball World Cup and the Rise of the 100 MPH Pitcher","url":"https://stolen-signs.fireside.fm/28","content_text":"Harry and Kendall talk about the Women's Baseball World Cup, then look at how the number of 🔥high velocity🔥pitchers has increased over the last 10 years. They wrap up with a discussion of how bullpen usage affects lineups and how it might affect your daily fantasy league. \n\n\nStolen Bases book by Jennifer Ring, Ph.D.\nWomen's Baseball World Cup website\nWomen's Baseball World Cup YouTube Channel\nKalamazoo Yankees vs Colorado Silver Bullets\nBullpen (Mis)management Tool\n","content_html":"Harry and Kendall talk about the Women's Baseball World Cup, then look at how the number of 🔥high velocity🔥pitchers has increased over the last 10 years. They wrap up with a discussion of how bullpen usage affects lineups and how it might affect your daily fantasy league.
\n\nWe visit with Jason Benetti, television play by play announcer for the Chicago White Sox. We talk with him about his start in the business, taking over for a broadcasting legend, how he integrates Steve Stone's first hand knowledge, with the plethora of statistical data he has access to.
\n\nWe also touch on the All Star Game and how catchers are evaluated for the Hall of Fame.
","summary":"We visit with Jason Benetti, television play by play announcer for the Chicago White Sox. We talk with him about his start in the business, taking over for a broadcasting legend, how he integrates Steve Stone's first hand knowledge, with the plethora of statistical data he has access to. \r\n\r\nWe also touch on the All Star Game and how catchers are evaluated for the Hall of Fame. ","date_published":"2018-07-13T23:00:00.000-07:00","attachments":[{"url":"https://aphid.fireside.fm/d/1437767933/404b1f73-65b1-41c4-adb4-28c4fda60071/ff0d4579-f83f-4f59-bef0-b2d7d7b20f58.mp3","mime_type":"audio/mp3","size_in_bytes":29128939,"duration_in_seconds":3559}]},{"id":"1f384781-f23b-4319-9ba8-967de062790f","title":"Episode 26: It seems the seam material has a material impact with Dr. Meredith Wills","url":"https://stolen-signs.fireside.fm/26","content_text":"Talking about the materials that make up a baseball with Dr. Meredith Wills. We also revisit two-way players, dig into defensive metrics and why they're difficult, and are reminded that everything old is new again. \n\n\nHow one tiny change to the baseball may have led to both the home run surge and the rise in pitcher blisters\nAngels Live: What to make of ‘Seam Study’\n","content_html":"Talking about the materials that make up a baseball with Dr. Meredith Wills. We also revisit two-way players, dig into defensive metrics and why they're difficult, and are reminded that everything old is new again.
\n\nR.J. Anderson of CBS Sports came on to talk with us about the Rays recent usage of Sergio Romo as a starting pitcher. We talk about whether this concept will continue and if there may be other teams willing to try it out. We also talk with Anthony Rescan about his Baseball Prospectus Intern project for calculating surplus draft value. We threw in a handful of things we've learned over the last few weeks including tidbits about Kendrys Morales, Jordan Hicks, and the predictive value of xStats.
\n\nWe discuss the Report of the Committee Studying Home Run Rates in Major League Baseball released on May 24, 2018. We talk with committee chair Dr. Alan Nathan, and committee member Dr. Dan Brooks as well as radar and target tracking research engineer, Dr. Sean O'Rourke. We examine what the report is saying and what it means going forward.
","summary":"We discuss the Report of the Committee Studying Home Run Rates in Major League Baseball released on May 24, 2018. We talk with committee chair Dr. Alan Nathan, and committee member Dr. Dan Brooks as well as radar and target tracking research engineer, Dr. Sean O'Rourke. We examine what the report is saying and what it means going forward. ","date_published":"2018-05-24T11:00:00.000-07:00","attachments":[{"url":"https://aphid.fireside.fm/d/1437767933/404b1f73-65b1-41c4-adb4-28c4fda60071/c1b9e8ff-c09e-48d9-979d-17fae886ec18.mp3","mime_type":"audio/mp3","size_in_bytes":54032402,"duration_in_seconds":6674}]},{"id":"b4305d72-6a19-4c7a-adb1-ebccf980aee6","title":"Episode 23: Evaluating Baseball Statistics with Sam Miller of ESPN","url":"https://stolen-signs.fireside.fm/23","content_text":"Sam Miller joined us to talk about his recent article about evaluating Statcast's new Pop Time metric. Surprising exactly no one, we also talk about Shohei Ohtani, again. And take a look at Robinson Cańo's Hall of Fame candidacy. \n\n\n'Pop' science: Your guide to learning a new MLB stat by Sam Miller\nUsain Bolt playing baseball by Sam Miller\nA big step forward in measuring command by Eno Sarris\nCMD from Baseball Prospectus\nWhat Makes a Good Change Up? Part 1, Part 2, Part 3 by Harry Pavlidis\n\n\nBelow is a table showing the comparative ratings of some of the pitchers with the best command scores.\n\n\n\n\nCommand+\nCMD\nName\n\n\n\n\n1\n9\nKyle Hendricks \n\n\n2\n19\nJordan Zimmermann \n\n\n3\n21\nAlex Wood \n\n\n4\n10\nJeremy Hellickson \n\n\n5\n64\nMasahiro Tanaka \n\n\n6\n86\nJosh Tomlin * \n\n\n7\n25\nAaron Nola \n\n\n8\n12\nTyler Mahle \n\n\n9\n6\nJacob deGrom \n\n\n10\n3\nZack Greinke \n\n\n12\n4\nCorey Kluber\n\n\n20\n2\nMarco Gonzales\n\n\n23\n1\nKyle Davies\n\n\n53\n8\nDoug Fister\n\n\n101\n5\nMarco Estrada\n\n\n122\n7\nCC Sabathia\n\n\n\nData pulled a few days apart, 151 total pitchers in COMMAND+ rankings and 130 in CMD\n* Tomlin ranked sixth in CMD in 2017\n\n\n\nShohei Ohtani is flexible\n\nhttps://twitter.com/shinjibvby/status/996478920110190592","content_html":"Sam Miller joined us to talk about his recent article about evaluating Statcast's new Pop Time metric. Surprising exactly no one, we also talk about Shohei Ohtani, again. And take a look at Robinson Cańo's Hall of Fame candidacy.
\n\nBelow is a table showing the comparative ratings of some of the pitchers with the best command scores.
\n\n| Command+ | \nCMD | \nName | \n
|---|---|---|
| 1 | \n9 | \nKyle Hendricks | \n
| 2 | \n19 | \nJordan Zimmermann | \n
| 3 | \n21 | \nAlex Wood | \n
| 4 | \n10 | \nJeremy Hellickson | \n
| 5 | \n64 | \nMasahiro Tanaka | \n
| 6 | \n86 | \nJosh Tomlin * | \n
| 7 | \n25 | \nAaron Nola | \n
| 8 | \n12 | \nTyler Mahle | \n
| 9 | \n6 | \nJacob deGrom | \n
| 10 | \n3 | \nZack Greinke | \n
| 12 | \n4 | \nCorey Kluber | \n
| 20 | \n2 | \nMarco Gonzales | \n
| 23 | \n1 | \nKyle Davies | \n
| 53 | \n8 | \nDoug Fister | \n
| 101 | \n5 | \nMarco Estrada | \n
| 122 | \n7 | \nCC Sabathia | \n
| Data pulled a few days apart, 151 total pitchers in COMMAND+ rankings and 130 in CMD | ||
| * Tomlin ranked sixth in CMD in 2017 |
Shohei Ohtani is flexible
\n\nhttps://twitter.com/shinjibvby/status/996478920110190592
","summary":"Sam Miller joined us to talk about his recent article about evaluating Statcast's new Pop Time metric. Surprising exactly no one, we also talk about Shohei Ohtani, again. And take a look at Robinson Cańo's Hall of Fame candidacy. ","date_published":"2018-05-17T05:00:00.000-07:00","attachments":[{"url":"https://aphid.fireside.fm/d/1437767933/404b1f73-65b1-41c4-adb4-28c4fda60071/b4305d72-6a19-4c7a-adb1-ebccf980aee6.mp3","mime_type":"audio/mp3","size_in_bytes":36186160,"duration_in_seconds":4443}]},{"id":"231d96b1-8ae4-48b2-95f5-5d3d2621dde1","title":"Episode 21: Baseball is Back","url":"https://stolen-signs.fireside.fm/21","content_text":"Baseball is back and we're all so glad","content_html":"Baseball is back and we're all so glad
","summary":"Baseball is back and we're all so glad.","date_published":"2018-04-05T22:00:00.000-07:00","attachments":[{"url":"https://aphid.fireside.fm/d/1437767933/404b1f73-65b1-41c4-adb4-28c4fda60071/231d96b1-8ae4-48b2-95f5-5d3d2621dde1.mp3","mime_type":"audio/mp3","size_in_bytes":30389786,"duration_in_seconds":3718}]},{"id":"da8a7c94-3514-4b32-9af7-9d05ddf064cd","title":"Episode 20: Spin Rates and Designing Pitches with Jeff Long","url":"https://stolen-signs.fireside.fm/20","content_text":"\n2:32 Revisiting PECOTA team projections\n10:44 Announce winners of The Shift by Russell A. Carleton giveaway\n14:40 Spin Rates and Pitch Design with Jeff Long\n1:08:45 Home Runs Have Surged in MLB — Baseball Experts Explain Why NBC Left Field (h/t Rob Arthur)\n\n\nOther Links\n\n\nWhat would happen if you tried to hit a baseball pitched at 90% the speed of light? Ellen McManis\n","content_html":"Other Links
\n\nWhen we talk about park adjusted stats, and park factors, what does all of that mean? How do we arrive at those numbers and how do we account for changes over time? We also talk about "pitch design" and how that combines analytical data and player development.
\n\nLinks:
\n\nWe talk with Jonathan Judge and Rob McQuown, who oversee Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA projections to get some more insight into how the projections are made, what's new this year, and of course hip hop.
\n\n","summary":"We talk with Jonathan Judge and Rob McQuown, who oversee Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA projections to get some more insight into how the projections are made, what's new this year, and of course hip hop. ","date_published":"2018-02-15T23:45:00.000-08:00","attachments":[{"url":"https://aphid.fireside.fm/d/1437767933/404b1f73-65b1-41c4-adb4-28c4fda60071/9e48f37a-4d3c-436f-9a8c-17d626ffd67d.mp3","mime_type":"audio/mp3","size_in_bytes":37217778,"duration_in_seconds":4572}]},{"id":"4a66c9f0-3deb-4b47-b161-916f56203ed8","title":"Episode 17: These Are Not the Robot Umpires You're Looking For","url":"https://stolen-signs.fireside.fm/17","content_text":"We talk to Jeff Long, Sean O'Rourke, Wayne Boyle, and Russell Carleton about their recent Pitching Week article about the Robot Strikezone and Robot Umpires. \n\n\nNew Power, Command, Stamina pitching metrics from Baseball Prospectus\nUpdating Pitch Tunnels - by Jeff Long, Harry Pavlidis, and Martin Alonso\nJeff Long, Jonathan Judge and Harry are nominated for a SABR Analytics Conference Research Award\nThe Hazards of Going on Auto-Pilot - by Maria Konnikova \n","content_html":"We talk to Jeff Long, Sean O'Rourke, Wayne Boyle, and Russell Carleton about their recent Pitching Week article about the Robot Strikezone and Robot Umpires.
\n\nStolen Signs is back. Harry and Kendall talk about the slow offseason, collusion and ideas on how to change the economics of baseball. After a short break (14:05) they discuss new research by Duke University that looks into neurological and motor skills and how they translate to baseball production, a new smart baseball that can provide some pitch tracking and tease some new work by the stats team at Baseball Prospectus. To wrap up (32:00), a look into the state of pitching and try to talk about what an inning(s) eater is and also what an ace is.
\n\nWe touch on many issues of the day as we wrap up 2017 in style.
\n\nWith that we bid you farewell for the year. Happy holidays to all, and we look forward to 2018.
","summary":"We touch on many issues of the day as we wrap up 2017 in style. \r\n[3:10] - Marlins firesale fallout\r\n[17:05] - Bob Bowman forced out at MLBAM\r\n[23:38] - Shohei Ohtani ZIPS, Steamer and PECOTA projections\r\n[35:20] - Long form movement article from Jeff Long\r\n[51:00] - Major League Baseball's Statcast Can Break Sabermetrics by Emma Baccellieri\r\n[1:19:20] - Hall of Fame discussion","date_published":"2017-12-22T05:00:00.000-08:00","attachments":[{"url":"https://aphid.fireside.fm/d/1437767933/404b1f73-65b1-41c4-adb4-28c4fda60071/b761200e-c1db-45b3-9d79-96ce1d620418.mp3","mime_type":"audio/mpeg","size_in_bytes":49914866,"duration_in_seconds":6159}]},{"id":"0358ca55-affc-4628-92bc-c888f4050d31","title":"Episode 14: Shohei Otani and Japanese Baseball with Ben Lindbergh and Kaz Yamazaki","url":"https://stolen-signs.fireside.fm/14","content_text":"We talk with Ben Lindbergh and Kaz Yamazaki about the NPB posting system, differences between the mounds, balls, culture of MLB and NPB and dig a little deeper into some of the myths about Japanese pitchers coming over to MLB. We also look into the current state of the sabermetric community in Japan. \n\n\nEffectively Wild Episode 1145: The Reigning-MVP Podcast Effectively Wild episode where Ben and Jeff Sullivan talk with Dennis Sarfate\nShohei Otani and MLB's Japanese Fragility Myth from The Ringer\nShohei Otani's life goals\nDelta Graphs\n","content_html":"We talk with Ben Lindbergh and Kaz Yamazaki about the NPB posting system, differences between the mounds, balls, culture of MLB and NPB and dig a little deeper into some of the myths about Japanese pitchers coming over to MLB. We also look into the current state of the sabermetric community in Japan.
\n\nWe welcome Sean Forman from Baseball Reference, David Cameron from FanGraphs, Greg Matthews from openWAR, Rob McQuown and Jonathan Judge from \n\">Baseball \n\">Prospectus to the show.
\n\nWith all the recent discussion about Wins Above Replacement statistics, we wanted to get people who create and maintain the statistics together to talk about how their respective stats are created and calculated. We talk about what replacement level is, positional adjustments, how to accurately portray confidence in the precision of the statistic.
","summary":"We welcome Sean Forman from Baseball Reference, David Cameron from FanGraphs, Greg Matthews from openWAR, Rob McQuown and Jonathan Judge from Baseball Prospectus to the show.\r\n\r\nWith all the recent discussion about Wins Above Replacement statistics, we wanted to get people who create and maintain the statistics together to talk about how their respective stats are created and calculated. We talk about what replacement level is, positional adjustments, how to accurately portray confidence in the precision of the statistic.","date_published":"2017-11-29T01:00:00.000-08:00","attachments":[{"url":"https://aphid.fireside.fm/d/1437767933/404b1f73-65b1-41c4-adb4-28c4fda60071/567af3fe-2a73-4e54-be3f-8ca9adf5feab.mp3","mime_type":"audio/mpeg","size_in_bytes":91123572,"duration_in_seconds":3770}]},{"id":"37628ef9-c701-44c5-88af-add8f2a0c587","title":"Episode 12: Making Sausage and Catching Up","url":"https://stolen-signs.fireside.fm/12","content_text":"Harry and Kendall look back at the World Series, discuss the Cy Young awards and the BBWAA vote has lined up with BP's pitching metrics over the past few years. \n\nNext up is a preview of some new pitching statistics that the Baseball Prospectus stats team is working on and why that's proven to be a challenge. Harry gives a look into how these statistics are imagined, designed, tested, and tweaked throughout the process. ","content_html":"Harry and Kendall look back at the World Series, discuss the Cy Young awards and the BBWAA vote has lined up with BP's pitching metrics over the past few years.
\n\nNext up is a preview of some new pitching statistics that the Baseball Prospectus stats team is working on and why that's proven to be a challenge. Harry gives a look into how these statistics are imagined, designed, tested, and tweaked throughout the process.
","summary":"Harry and Kendall look back at the World Series, discuss the Cy Young awards and the BBWAA vote has lined up with BP's pitching metrics over the past few years. \r\n\r\nNext up is a preview of some new pitching statistics that the Baseball Prospectus stats team is working on and why that's proven to be a challenge. Harry gives a look into how these statistics are imagined, designed, tested, and tweaked throughout the process. ","date_published":"2017-11-16T13:00:00.000-08:00","attachments":[{"url":"https://aphid.fireside.fm/d/1437767933/404b1f73-65b1-41c4-adb4-28c4fda60071/37628ef9-c701-44c5-88af-add8f2a0c587.mp3","mime_type":"audio/mp3","size_in_bytes":41849844,"duration_in_seconds":5148}]},{"id":"0a1bc5d4-125c-41a8-8121-e6f8c2e2410f","title":"Episode 11: Unusual Paths to the Rotation and Everything Old is New Again with Jarrett Seidler","url":"https://stolen-signs.fireside.fm/11","content_text":"This week Harry and Kendall talk to Jarrett Seidler from the Baseball Prospectus Prospects team about the cyclical nature of baseball in general, and analytics specifically. \n\nHarry and Kendall also take a closer look at how pitchers end up in the bullpen and examine their route to get there. For this exercise they looked at pitchers with a debut season of > 20 IP as a reliever, and fewer starter innings than reliever innings in that year and then went on to log > 75 IP as a starter in a subsequent season, with fewer reliever than starting innings. Check out the spreadsheet. \n\n*This Week I Learned: *\n\n\nHarry - A look into research done with Kate Morrison for Ben Lindbergh's Ringer piece about Dallas Keuchel and the Dodgers - https://www.theringer.com/mlb/2017/10/24/16533310/houston-astros-los-angeles-dodgers-dallas-keuchel-kryptonite\nKendall - Is it possible that Major League Baseball is coming to Portland? - http://www.baseballamerica.com/columnists/expansion-trigger-realignment-longer-postseason/#IpHtEd8vb3JeJHOB.97\n","content_html":"This week Harry and Kendall talk to Jarrett Seidler from the Baseball Prospectus Prospects team about the cyclical nature of baseball in general, and analytics specifically.
\n\nHarry and Kendall also take a closer look at how pitchers end up in the bullpen and examine their route to get there. For this exercise they looked at pitchers with a debut season of > 20 IP as a reliever, and fewer starter innings than reliever innings in that year and then went on to log > 75 IP as a starter in a subsequent season, with fewer reliever than starting innings. Check out the spreadsheet.
\n\n*This Week I Learned: *
\n\nHarry - A look into research done with Kate Morrison for Ben Lindbergh's Ringer piece about Dallas Keuchel and the Dodgers - https://www.theringer.com/mlb/2017/10/24/16533310/houston-astros-los-angeles-dodgers-dallas-keuchel-kryptonite
Kendall - Is it possible that Major League Baseball is coming to Portland? - http://www.baseballamerica.com/columnists/expansion-trigger-realignment-longer-postseason/#IpHtEd8vb3JeJHOB.97
We start by talking about projection systems in general, then dive into 2017 PECOTA team projections. We look to see how adding in actual playing time affects the team totals. Then we talk about individual players that out-performed and under-performed their PECOTA projections.
\n\nThis Week I Learned:
\n\nWe sat down with Rob Arthur, Ben Diamond, Greg Matthews, and Travis Sawchik to talk about the MLB playoffs. We touched on playoff formats (past, present, and future?) and then moved on to talk about roster construction and optimization for the playoffs. After that, Harry and Kendall talk about the things they learned this week.
\n\nLinks:
\n\nThis week Harry and Kendall discuss pitcher similarity scores. Where did they come from? What are they? What can they be used for? And what might they evolve into.
\n\nThis week Kendall learned a little about Ted Williams, and Harry learned something from Neil deGrasse Tyson.
\n\nLinks:\n
You can email Kendall and Harry at stolen_signs@baseballprospectus.com and follow them on Twitter @stolen_signs.
","summary":"This week Harry and Kendall discuss pitcher similarity scores. Where did they come from? What are they? What can they be used for? And what might they evolve into. ","date_published":"2017-09-21T22:00:00.000-07:00","attachments":[{"url":"https://aphid.fireside.fm/d/1437767933/404b1f73-65b1-41c4-adb4-28c4fda60071/9f0cd3e8-39ba-4f76-92e6-fde9718e6034.mp3","mime_type":"audio/mpeg","size_in_bytes":86234090,"duration_in_seconds":3531}]},{"id":"http://www.blogtalkradio.com/stolen_signs/2017/09/17/episode-7-the-rise-of-the-two-way-player","title":"Episode 7: The Rise of the Two-Way Player","url":"https://stolen-signs.fireside.fm/7","content_text":"With the news of Shohei Ohtani's imminent posting from the NPB, this episode we talk with Sung Min Kim from the Sporting News about the posting system as well as a closer look at Ohtani. Harry and Kendall then discuss the precedence of two-way players in the Major Leagues and talk about what they've learned this week.\n\nLinks:\nFrank HowardMLBAM Outs Above AverageHunter Greene's future is on the moundCan Cincinnati Reds prospect Hunter Greene be this smart and this good? Yes","content_html":"With the news of Shohei Ohtani's imminent posting from the NPB, this episode we talk with Sung Min Kim from the Sporting News about the posting system as well as a closer look at Ohtani. Harry and Kendall then discuss the precedence of two-way players in the Major Leagues and talk about what they've learned this week.
\n\nLinks:
\nFrank HowardMLBAM Outs Above AverageHunter Greene's future is on the moundCan Cincinnati Reds prospect Hunter Greene be this smart and this good? Yes
This week Harry and Kendall welcome Dan Brooks from Brooks Baseball and Russell Carleton from Baseball Prospectus. We talk with Dan and Russell about how baseball relates to their professional field of study, psychology. Russell has a new book coming out, called "The Shift", which is available for pre-order. To steal a play from Russell's playbook, we command you to pre-order it.
","summary":"This week Harry and Kendall welcome Dan Brooks from Brooks Baseball and Russell Carleton from Baseball Prospectus. We talk with Dan and Russell about how baseba","date_published":"2017-09-08T06:00:00.000-07:00","attachments":[{"url":"https://aphid.fireside.fm/d/1437767933/404b1f73-65b1-41c4-adb4-28c4fda60071/09070431-7bcf-4823-b742-2bcc3ec5c89c.mp3","mime_type":"audio/mpeg","size_in_bytes":68652002,"duration_in_seconds":4198}]},{"id":"http://www.blogtalkradio.com/stolen_signs/2017/09/01/episode-5-sabermetrics-timeline","title":"Episode 5: Sabermetrics Timeline","url":"https://stolen-signs.fireside.fm/5","content_text":"We go through a rough outline of the history of sabermetrics. And we also want to ask for your help. We're sure we missed things. If you know of so key point in the history of sabermetrics, please help us add to our list. ","content_html":"We go through a rough outline of the history of sabermetrics. And we also want to ask for your help. We're sure we missed things. If you know of so key point in the history of sabermetrics, please help us add to our list.
","summary":"Harry Pavlidis and Kendall Guillemette go through a rough outline of the history of sabermetrics.","date_published":"2017-09-01T06:00:00.000-07:00","attachments":[{"url":"https://aphid.fireside.fm/d/1437767933/404b1f73-65b1-41c4-adb4-28c4fda60071/98b1e456-83fe-4b2f-9f10-09c6041eb455.mp3","mime_type":"audio/mpeg","size_in_bytes":60212784,"duration_in_seconds":3671}]},{"id":"http://www.blogtalkradio.com/stolen_signs/2017/08/25/episode-4-stats-and-storytellers-with-jonah-keri","title":"Episode 4: Stats and Storytellers with Jonah Keri","url":"https://stolen-signs.fireside.fm/4","content_text":"This is the first in a new recurring series called Stats and Storytellers. We're excited to welcome Jonah Keri as our first guest. Our conversation was wide-reaching and really interesting. We talked about Jonah's recent article about the Expos mascot, Youppi, getting ejected from a game back in 1989, touched on the stats behind why he thought Tim Raines deserved to be in the Hall of Fame. Jonah reflected on his time at BP (and elsewhere), and we had a great discussion about the ins and outs of writing about statistics. ","content_html":"This is the first in a new recurring series called Stats and Storytellers. We're excited to welcome Jonah Keri as our first guest. Our conversation was wide-reaching and really interesting. We talked about Jonah's recent article about the Expos mascot, Youppi, getting ejected from a game back in 1989, touched on the stats behind why he thought Tim Raines deserved to be in the Hall of Fame. Jonah reflected on his time at BP (and elsewhere), and we had a great discussion about the ins and outs of writing about statistics.
","summary":"This is the first in a new recurring series called Stats and Storytellers. We're excited to welcome Jonah Keri as our first guest.","date_published":"2017-08-25T06:00:00.000-07:00","attachments":[{"url":"https://aphid.fireside.fm/d/1437767933/404b1f73-65b1-41c4-adb4-28c4fda60071/8c1272fa-b1e4-4fd0-9903-944b5f08ac61.mp3","mime_type":"audio/mpeg","size_in_bytes":70645146,"duration_in_seconds":4323}]},{"id":"http://www.blogtalkradio.com/stolen_signs/2017/08/17/episode-3-not-just-academic-rob-arthur-and-jim-albert-on-the-hot-hand","title":"Episode 3: Not Just Academic: Rob Arthur and Jim Albert on the Hot Hand","url":"https://stolen-signs.fireside.fm/3","content_text":"This week we talked to Rob Arthur of FiveThirtyEight and Jim Albert, professor of mathematics and statistics at Bowling Green State University about Rob's article Baseball’s ‘Hot Hand’ Is Real, co-authored by Greg Matthews assistant professor of statistics at Loyola University Chicago. We covered specifics of the article and the research behind it and also delved into how we can present statistical analysis to the general public in a way that's both rigorous and accessible.","content_html":"This week we talked to Rob Arthur of FiveThirtyEight and Jim Albert, professor of mathematics and statistics at Bowling Green State University about Rob's article Baseball’s ‘Hot Hand’ Is Real, co-authored by Greg Matthews assistant professor of statistics at Loyola University Chicago. We covered specifics of the article and the research behind it and also delved into how we can present statistical analysis to the general public in a way that's both rigorous and accessible.
","summary":"This week we talked to Rob Arthur of FiveThirtyEight and Jim Albert, professor of mathematics and statistics at Bowling Green State University about Rob's artic","date_published":"2017-08-17T09:00:00.000-07:00","attachments":[{"url":"https://aphid.fireside.fm/d/1437767933/404b1f73-65b1-41c4-adb4-28c4fda60071/c2cd3974-4bc8-4197-853a-b44b3b092fad.mp3","mime_type":"audio/mpeg","size_in_bytes":71135098,"duration_in_seconds":4354}]},{"id":"http://www.blogtalkradio.com/stolen_signs/2017/08/15/episode-2-dips-fip-dra-and-you","title":"Episode 2: DIPs, FIP, DRA and You","url":"https://stolen-signs.fireside.fm/2","content_text":"On Episode 2 of Stolen Signs we briefly recap SaberSeminar 2017, answer a listener email about how to learn more about baseball stats, and we have a discussion about pitching metrics with Jonathan Judge of Baseball Prospectus and Neil Weinberg of FanGraphs.\n\nYou can email Kendall and Harry at stolen_signs@baseballprospectus.com and follow them on Twitter @stolen_signs.","content_html":"On Episode 2 of Stolen Signs we briefly recap SaberSeminar 2017, answer a listener email about how to learn more about baseball stats, and we have a discussion about pitching metrics with Jonathan Judge of Baseball Prospectus and Neil Weinberg of FanGraphs.
\n\nYou can email Kendall and Harry at stolen_signs@baseballprospectus.com and follow them on Twitter @stolen_signs.
","summary":"We briefly recap SaberSeminar 2017, answer a listener email about how to learn more about baseball stats, and we have a discussion about pitching metrics w/ Jon","date_published":"2017-08-15T09:30:00.000-07:00","attachments":[{"url":"https://aphid.fireside.fm/d/1437767933/404b1f73-65b1-41c4-adb4-28c4fda60071/a2d5e329-aac6-4ce5-bec5-15d2aa8c61eb.mp3","mime_type":"audio/mpeg","size_in_bytes":83255420,"duration_in_seconds":5111}]},{"id":"http://www.blogtalkradio.com/stolen_signs/2017/08/01/episode-1-welcome-to-the-stolen-signs-podcast","title":"Episode 1: Welcome to the Stolen Signs Podcast","url":"https://stolen-signs.fireside.fm/1","content_text":"This is episode 1 of the Stolen Signs podcast, a new podcast from the stats team at Baseball Prospectus. Your hosts Kendall Guillemette and Harry Pavlidis introduce the show, themselves and talk to Jeff Long and Kate Morrison about their presentation at SaberSeminar 2017 about pitch selection, sequencing, and tunnels.\n\nYou can email Kendall and Harry at stolen_signs@baseballprospectus.com and follow them on Twitter @stolen_signs.","content_html":"This is episode 1 of the Stolen Signs podcast, a new podcast from the stats team at Baseball Prospectus. Your hosts Kendall Guillemette and Harry Pavlidis introduce the show, themselves and talk to Jeff Long and Kate Morrison about their presentation at SaberSeminar 2017 about pitch selection, sequencing, and tunnels.
\n\nYou can email Kendall and Harry at stolen_signs@baseballprospectus.com and follow them on Twitter @stolen_signs.
","summary":"This is episode 1 of the Stolen Signs podcast, a new podcast from the stats team at Baseball Prospectus.","date_published":"2017-08-01T09:00:00.000-07:00","attachments":[{"url":"https://aphid.fireside.fm/d/1437767933/404b1f73-65b1-41c4-adb4-28c4fda60071/949629f1-9c4e-4b81-9041-30c1ef408261.mp3","mime_type":"audio/mpeg","size_in_bytes":54607576,"duration_in_seconds":3321}]}]}